Erstellt am: 8. 2. 2016 - 15:21 Uhr

"A clear and present danger in 6 to 12 months"

Reality Check: The growth of Islamic State/Daesh in Libya, al-Shabab, Turkey refugees, North Korea rocket, Myanmar presidency.

As Islamic State militants are driven out of Syria and Iraq, many are making their way to Libya, and the city of Sirte. With no stable government in the country, which is still torn between warring tribes and factions, I.S. fighters have found a haven there where they can create a base for operations in other countries.

AFP PHOTO / POOL

Islamic State now have control of Sirte, on the Libyan coast, from which the could launch attacks on Europe.

International focus is still on I.S. in Syria and Iraq, but many analysts say Libya could soon be an even bigger problem.

Rear Admiral Chris Parry discusses the dangers the increasing Islamic State presence in Libya poses for the West.

The resurgence of al-Shabab

International security analyst, Paul Rogers, discusses the resurgence of al-Shabab in Somalia and its significance to the jihadist movement.

Turkey and the Syrian refugees

AFP/Adem Altan

Merkel and Davutoglu have a lot to talk about, but little in common.

German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, is in Turkey today for talks on the refugee crisis.

While the EU wants Turkey to open its border to Syria and allow refugees from Aleppo in, Turkey would prefer to find a solution on Syrian soil.

Our Istanbul correspondent, Dorian Jones, reports on the difficult task ahead for both sides.

North Korea rocket launch

As the United Nations Security Council condemns North Korea's latest rocket launch, Rudiger Frank of the University of Vienna explains why is it so hard to the UN to take any effective action.

Myanmar's presidential election

AFP/Aung Htet

Suu Kyi won almost 80% of the vote, and says she will rule through a proxy if necessary.

At the crucial presidential election in Myanmar draws closer, Jonah Fisher reports from Yangon on rumours that Aung San Suu Kyi may be allowed to stand, despite her being technically disqualified.

As the military face the fact of the huge majority she won in November's elections, it seems some sort of compromise must be found, or risk the anger of the people who voted for her.

FM4 Reality Check

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